Asia Stocks Week Ahead28/01/2013Asia Stocks Week Ahead: India Rates, Honda, Sharp, Posco, ICICI 6:17
A look at the coming week in Asian equity markets (Bloomberg data unless stated -- click here for instructions how to receive the story in your inbox -- click here for today’s Asia daybook):
WHAT TO WATCH:
• India seen cutting rates; Malaysia, N.Z. seen holding
• Earnings incl. MUFJ, Honda, NTT Docomo, Sharp, SMFG, Canon, Mizuho Financial, Softbank, Posco, ICICI, PTTEP
• Chinalco Mining trades; Asia’s biggest IPO so far in 2013
• Yen weakness; Abe advisor says 95 vs USD may be desirable; BofAML sees Japan automakers turning table on Koreans
• Japanese automakers to give 2012 output figures
• China regulator may rule on HSBC’s Ping An stake sale
• Bank Indonesia decision on DBS-Danamon deal may be imminent: Bernstein
• China data includes Jan. PMI
• Federal Reserve meets
• Australian output reports incl. Beach Energy, Oil Search, Whitehaven


MONDAY
• Toyota, Nissan, Honda release 2012 global output figures
• Japan PM Abe gives speech in parliament on economic strategy
• Australia, Malaysia markets closed
• Earnings incl. KDDI, JSW Steel; click here for full list, ests., call details
• RBI releases economic report ahead of rate decision
• Hong Kong Legislative Council panel discusses exchange’s proposal to introduce after-hours trading
• Singapore’s EDB holds annual briefing, 2013 outlook
• Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP) sets IPO price
• Industrial & Infrastructure Fund (3249 JP) may price IPO


TUESDAY
• RBI seen lowering benchmark interest rate 25 bps to 7.75%; seen keeping cash reserve ratio at 4.25%
• Earnings incl. Posco, Komatsu, LG Chem, Idea Cellular, Sterlite; click here for full list, ests., call details
• Apple, Samsung pleas at Tokyo court
• Japan govt 2013 budget plan
• PanAsialum Holdings (2078 HK) prices $174m IPO
• Time Watch Investments (2033 HK) prices $104m IPO
• New Zealand Dec. trade balance est NZ$105m deficit
• Ex-Asia earnings incl. Ford, Pfizer, Amazon.com
• Conference Board’s U.S. consumer confidence Jan. data


WEDNESDAY
• Earnings incl. NTT Docomo, SMFG, Canon, Chunghwa Telecom, Hynix, Nintendo, Lenovo, LG Electronics; click here for full list, ests., call details
• Cnooc CEO gives 2012 production numbers, 2013 target
• ZTE may release 2013 handset shipments forecast
• South Korea Dec. industrial production est. 1.2% Y/y
• Boeing earnings; may give 787 update
• Roubini, Philippine Finance Secretary Cesar Purisima speak at forum in Manila
• Energy Absolute (EA TB) begins trading in $100m IPO
• Fed rate decision, seen continuing bond-buying program
• U.S. GDP 4Q GDP est. 1.2% vs 3.1% in 3Q
• Ex-Asia earnings incl. Facebook, Fiat, Roche, H&M
• RIM debuts Blackberry 10 smartphone


THURSDAY
• Earnings incl. Honda, Japan Tobacco, Mizuho, Softbank, East Japan Rail, ICICI, PTTEP, Nomura, Toshiba, Hang Lung Properties; click here for full list, ests., call details
• Malaysia central bank seen holding rates
• New Zealand central bank seen holding rates
• Chinalco Mining debuts $435m IPO in H.K.
• BOJ Deputy Governor Yamaguchi speaks in Nagasaki
• Bank of Thailand Governor Trairatvorakul speaks in Bangkok
• Olam’s newly issued bonds, warrants debut
• Taiwan 4Q preliminary GDP est. 3% Y/y
• Japan Dec. preliminary IP est. 4.1% M/m; -5.6% Y/y
• Philippines 4Q GDP est. 6.4% Y/y
• Hong Kong Dec. retail sales est. 7.6% Y/y
• Thailand Dec. current account balance
• U.S. personal spending data
• Ex-Asia earnings incl. Deutsche Bank, Shell, Diageo, LVMH, Ericsson, AstraZeneca


FRIDAY
• Earnings incl. MUFJ, Mitsubishi Corp., Sharp, Denso, Bharti Airtel, Hutchison Port, Astellas Pharma, Panasonic, KT Corp.; click here for full list, ests., call details
• Chinese regulator deadline for approval of part of HSBC’s Ping An stake sale to CP Group
• Macau Jan. gambling revenue
• New Zealand central bank Governor Wheeler speaks
• Japan announces ESM bond purchase amount
• China Jan. manufacturing PMI est. 51; previous 50.6
• China Jan. HSBC manufacturing PMI est. 52; previous 51.5
• Japan Dec. jobless rate est. 4.1%
• Australia 4Q PPI
• Indonesia Jan. inflation, trade data
• S. Korea Jan. exports est. 9.4% Y/y; imports est. 0.8% Y/y; CPI est. 1.5% Y/y
• Malaysia market closed
• U.S. jobs data
• Ex-Asia earnings incl. Exxon, Chevron, Merck


NOTE:
• L’Occitane may announce 9-mo. sales figures next week
• Click EVTS<GO> for full list of shareholder meetings
• Click here for here for all Asia earnings next week

M&A WATCH:
• Click here for Asia M&A week ahead
• Chinese regulator due to give decision on HSBC’s sale of Ping An stake to CP Group by Feb. 1
• F&N directors plan to sell shares; TCC offer seen ‘fair’
• Bank Indonesia decision on DBS purchase of Bank Danamon may be imminent, Bernstein says
• Sprint says FCC must deny Dish’s request for delaying agency’s review of Softbank purchase of S; FCC asked for comments on Softbank’s bid by Mon.
• Tinkler isn’t permitted to engage with other Whitehaven shareholders or renew bid until 6-mo. standstill ends this mo.
• Click here for pending M&A deals involving Asian cos.

IPOs ($100m and above): MONDAY
• Comforia Residential REIT (3282 JP) prices $292m IPO
TUESDAY
• PanAsialum Holdings (2078 HK) prices $174m IPO
• Time Watch Investments (2033 HK) prices $104m IPO
WEDNESDAY
• Energy Absolute (EA TB) debuts $100m IPO at 5.50 baht/shr
THURSDAY
• Chinalco Mining (3668 HK) debuts $435m IPO at HK$1.91/shr

MARKETS CLOSED:
• Monday: Australia, Malaysia
• Friday: Malaysia

WEEK’S WINNERS AND LOSERS:
• MXAP index fell 0.7%, most since week-ending Nov. 16
• Avg volume $8.9b vs 2012 avg $7.8b
• Utilities, IT lead declines in 6/10 sub-sectors; health care, finance lead gains
• MXAP’s top gainers incl. China Vanke, Dainippon Sumitomo, Sony, Chailease, Krung Thai Bank, Airports of Thailand, Nexon, EEN Energy; biggest losers incl. Anta Sports, Hokkaido Electric Power, Korea Gas, Guangzhou Auto, Shikoku Electric Power, LG Household
• Pakistan, Vietnam, Thailand best-performing markets; worst performers incl. Korea, Malysia, Taiwan (3/4 worst globally)
• CDS movers (CMA prices) incl. Nippon Sheet Glass (-99), Sharp ( 258)

OTHER DATA:
• Biggest weekly rise in FY consensus net income ests. incl. China Shipping, Sojitz, Sony, SK Holdings, Nintendo; biggest drops incl. NKSJ, ZTE, Acer, Hokuriku Electric Power, IRPC
• Biggest consensus rating upgrades by analysts in past week incl. OUE, SATS, CFS Retail, Tabcorp, Great Wall Motor, Mapletree Commercial Trust; biggest cuts incl. Hindustan Unilever, Raymond Ltd., Toray Industries, Taiwan Surface, Crown, BHP Billiton
• Highest short interest (Markit data) as % of free float in Singapore, Olam; in H.K., ASM Pacific Tech; in Japan, Aozora Bank; in Australia, Flight Centre
• “Oversold list” (trade below 20/50/200 DMAs, Bollinger lower band, RSI below 30) incl. Kia Motors, Malaysia Marine, Ranbaxy, China Mobile
• “Overbought list” (trade above 20/50/200 DMAs, Bollinger upper band, RSI above 70) incl. ANZ, CP All, Sembcorp Industries, Telstra, ENN Energy

(Source : Bloomberg)
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