Europe Daybook25/01/2013EUROPEAN DAYBOOK: Bankinter, ECB, German Business Confidence 13:17
The ECB will give a first indication of how much of its EU1t in 3-yr loans banks plan to repay early. German IFO business confidence probably rose for a third month in Jan., signaling a trend change, according to economists. ECB’s Draghi speaks in Davos. U.K. sells bills.

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WHAT TO WATCH:
• Financial Job Losses Approach Four-Year High as Europe Leads Way With Cuts
• German Business Confidence May Gain for a Third Month in Jan.
• Bankinter 5.2% stake being sold by Credit Agricole; shares being offered at EU3.85-EU4, term sheet shows
• Deutsche Bank’s Talbot Among Debt Salesmen Said to Leave
• Deutsche Bank Trader Fired Over Rate-Rigging Loses $53m
• Yen Set for 11th Weekly Loss as Japan Stocks Rise on Prices; Samsung Falls
• ECB to Give First Indication of 3-Year Loan Repayment Today
• Barclays funds sold their 40% stake in U.K. student-housing operator UPP Group Holdings to China’s Gingko Tree Investment, Bloomberg reports
• Billionaire Soros Says Euro Here to Stay as Currency War Looms
• Areva is stepping up security measures in Niger, CEO says
• Italy Development Minister Corrado Passera says he had absolute confidence in the Bank of Italy’s govt to regulate the nation’s banks
• Ukraine energy minister hopeful of agreement with Gazprom in 1Q
• Vranken-Pommery Monopole 2012 rev. EU326.1m; est. EU336m

EARNINGS All times CET, estimates where available:
• Wartsila Oyj (WRT1V FH) 7:30am, 4Q adj. est. EU0.63
• Anglo American (AAL LN) 8am, 4Q production
• Getinge (GETIB SS) noon, 4Q ebit est. SK1.62b

ECONOMIC DATA:
• TBA: Greece Nov. current account (Euro); no est. (prior -684M)
• 8am Finland 4Q house prices Q/q; no est. (prior 1.1%)
• 8am Finland 4Q house prices Y/y%; no est. (prior 1.8%)
• 9am Spain Dec. producer prices; no est. (prior -0.5% M/m; 2.8% Y/y)
• 9:30am Netherlands Jan. producer confidence; est. -5.1 (prior -5.7)
• 10am Germany Jan. IFO - business climate; est. 103 (prior 102.4)
• 10am Germany Jan. IFO - current assessment; est. 107.3 (prior 107.1)
• 10am Germany Jan. IFO - expectations; est. 98.5 (prior 97.9)
• 10:30am U.K. 4Q A GDP Q/q; est. -0.1% (prior 0.9%)
• 10:30am U.K. 4Q A GDP Y/y; est. 0.2% (prior 0%)
• 10:30am U.K. Nov. Index of services M/m; est. -0.1% (prior 0.1%)
• 10:30am U.K. Nov. Index of services (3mth/3mth); est. 0.5% (prior 1.1%)
• 6pm France Dec. jobseekers - net change; est. 25 (prior 29.3)
• 6pm France Dec. total jobseekers; est. 3153.5k (prior 3132.6k)

BOND SALES/PURCHASES:
• 12pm Iceland to sell 6.5% 2031 bonds
• 12:10pm U.K. to sell GBP500m 28-day bills
• 12:10pm U.K. to sell GBP500m 91-day bills
• 12:10pm U.K. to sell GBP1.5b 182-day bills

CENTRAL BANKS:
• 10am Riksbank First Deputy Governor Kerstin af Jochnik speaks
• 10:30am ECB President Draghi speaks at Davos
• 12pm: ECB releases data for expected 3-yr LTRO repayment
• 2:45pm Bloomberg hosts panel at Davos

GOVERNMENT:
• TBA: Italian PM Monti speaks on Radio Uno’s Radio Anch’io Program
• 10am EU’s Lewandowski speaks at Brussels Think Tank
• 10am EU Parliament President Schulz holds press conference
• 10am Govt briefing on Feb. 1-3 Munich security conference

CORPORATE EVENTS/CONFERENCES:
• Exploration Day London: REP SM
• World Economic Forum: DBK GY, NOVN VX, RIO LN, SAP GY
• AGM/EGM: BMPS IM

MARKETS:
• MSCI AP Index: gains 0.1%; industry gainers/decliners
• S&P 500 unchanged at 1,494.82
• London gold: 0.1% at $1,669.80/oz

(Source : Bloomberg)
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